Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2.181126 2.615240 3.102373 3.687874 4.370788 5.140376 6.071473
2025-12-14 1.533774 2.075561 2.749891 3.644224 4.791673 6.206165 8.072457
2025-12-21 1.154149 1.728688 2.507867 3.627250 5.176634 7.225250 10.114214
2025-12-28 0.970320 1.582533 2.474094 3.841305 5.852634 8.663682 12.839328
2026-01-04 0.810134 1.427424 2.385787 3.942951 6.359081 9.901504 15.402465
2026-01-11 0.702486 1.326849 2.353109 4.107733 6.959444 11.316446 18.343522
2026-01-18 0.589321 1.191005 2.235957 4.111511 7.296111 12.352845 20.799922
2026-01-25 0.477718 1.032996 2.051432 3.968593 7.365011 12.961585 22.628893
2026-02-01 0.388516 0.897334 1.881080 3.819249 7.393675 13.491868 24.359508
2026-02-08 0.332781 0.816409 1.797317 3.810711 7.659239 14.429910 26.831151
2026-02-15 0.288216 0.749395 1.728579 3.817960 7.948334 15.426016 29.474510
2026-02-22 0.246468 0.679363 1.641383 3.774348 8.132125 16.244472 31.864426
2026-03-01 0.199191 0.586238 1.491183 3.584277 8.017570 16.524181 33.343728
2026-03-08 0.170627 0.533091 1.420384 3.551889 8.213464 17.400217 35.992335
2026-03-15 0.147623 0.488920 1.362381 3.538385 8.444716 18.361398 38.875563
2026-03-22 0.139607 0.484785 1.400397 3.748727 9.173495 20.359206 43.900893
2026-03-29 0.126878 0.463703 1.392178 3.848480 9.670226 21.929837 48.202838
2026-04-05 0.118181 0.452868 1.408650 4.009817 10.320294 23.864192 53.366011
2026-04-12 0.104239 0.421527 1.364501 4.013543 10.609173 25.066543 57.129316
2026-04-19 0.087330 0.375248 1.269998 3.873702 10.544720 25.509246 59.354749
2026-04-26 0.072868 0.333022 1.178658 3.727578 10.446325 25.865406 61.417701
2026-05-03 0.064246 0.309877 1.140036 3.719225 10.684792 26.983174 65.181399
2026-05-10 0.057083 0.290229 1.108564 3.726317 10.962396 28.209654 69.263703